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Chart of the Week

Weekly chart using economic data to address timely market topics from the Wells Fargo Investment Institute Global Investment Strategy team.

July 15, 2024

Chao Ma, PhD, CFA, FRM, Global Portfolio and Investment Strategist

Diversifying beyond increasingly narrow public markets

The chart shows that private-market assets have grown at 14% per annum in recent decades as assets under management have increased from less than $1 trillion in 2000 to over $15 trillion in 2023.Sources: Wells Fargo Investment Institute and Preqin. Data as of September 30, 2023. The private capital assets include private equity, private debt, and private real assets. Excerpted from Investment Strategy (July 15)

Private capital assets under management have seen significant growth in recent years

The S&P 500 Index boasted an impressive 15% return over the first half of the year, but much of the performance was driven by a handful of mega-cap technology companies. Meanwhile, private companies represent a growing opportunity set, with over 90% of all U.S. companies being privately held. Further, private companies don’t just outnumber their publicly listed counterparts, they also offer diverse opportunities spanning a wide array of sectors and industries.

Recent growth in the total number of private companies has been accompanied by an increase in assets held in private markets, as shown in the chart above. Assets under management have grown at 14% per annum in recent decades, from less than $1 trillion in 2000 to over $15 trillion in 2023. In our view, this points to the unique opportunity set, especially as many private companies feature prudent financial leverage, high-quality growth, and attractive valuations.

What it may mean for investors

We believe diversification is increasingly important given the growing concentration in public markets, and the historical returns of private capital showcase its benefits in this realm — private assets have offered lower volatility in returns and have featured a low correlation to public markets. In our view, qualified investors should consider the unique and expanding opportunities available in private markets when building a diversified, long-term portfolio.

Alternative investments, such as hedge funds, private equity, private debt and private real estate funds are not appropriate for all investors and are only open to “accredited” or “qualified” investors within the meaning of U.S. securities laws.

Risk Considerations

Alternative investments carry specific investor qualifications which can include high income and net-worth requirements as well as relatively high investment minimums. They are complex investment vehicles which generally have high costs and substantial risks. The high expenses often associated with these investments must be offset by trading profits and other income. They tend to be more volatile than other types of investments and present an increased risk of investment loss. There may also be a lack of transparency as to the underlying assets. Other risks may apply as well, depending on the specific investment product.

Private capital investments are complex, speculative investment vehicles not appropriate for all investors. They are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as registered investment products and engage in leverage and other aggressive investment practices. There is often limited (or even non-existent) liquidity and a lack of transparency regarding the underlying assets.

Definitions

S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted index composed of 500 widely held common stocks that is generally considered representative of the US stock market.

An index is unmanaged and not available for direct investment.

General Disclosures

Global Investment Strategy (GIS) is a division of Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Inc. (WFII). WFII is a registered investment adviser and wholly owned subsidiary of Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., a bank affiliate of Wells Fargo & Company.

The information in this report was prepared by Global Investment Strategy. Opinions represent GIS’ opinion as of the date of this report and are for general information purposes only and are not intended to predict or guarantee the future performance of any individual security, market sector or the markets generally. GIS does not undertake to advise you of any change in its opinions or the information contained in this report. Wells Fargo & Company affiliates may issue reports or have opinions that are inconsistent with, and reach different conclusions from, this report.

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